The Rise of a Criminal Empire
To understand what Puerto Vallarta is going through, one must first understand what the CJNG is. Founded in the 2000s, this Mexican cartel has established itself in less than two decades as one of the most formidable criminal organizations in the Western Hemisphere. Its expansion has been spectacular: present in more than 20 Mexican states and active in more than 35 countries, the CJNG controls trafficking routes for fentanyl, cocaine, and methamphetamine that supply the North American, European, and Asian markets. Its leader, Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, alias El Mencho, is among the world’s most wanted individuals, with a $10 million U.S. reward offered by the United States for any information leading to his arrest.
What sets the CJNG apart from other cartels is its operational model. While some criminal groups seek to keep a low profile to avoid military and police strikes, the CJNG flaunts its power. Propaganda videos shared on social media, armed convoys filmed in broad daylight, and head-on attacks against Mexican law enforcement—including firing anti-aircraft missiles at military helicopters. This group does not seek to blend into the background. It imposes its own reality. And that reality, in Jalisco, Nayarit, and the Bahía de Banderas region—which includes Puerto Vallarta—is that of a parallel authority that coexists—sometimes in collusion—with official institutions.
When a cartel can fire on a military helicopter without fundamentally altering the balance of power, we are no longer dealing with ordinary organized crime. We are dealing with something else. Something that dangerously resembles a low-intensity war that governments prefer not to call by that name.
Puerto Vallarta in the Eye of the Storm
Puerto Vallarta is not a city on the periphery of this reality. It is one of its centers. The port city is a strategic crossroads: a transit hub for both legal and illegal goods, a tourism-driven economy that generates colossal cash flows easily infiltrated by money laundering, and a geographical position at the junction of Pacific land and sea routes. For a cartel like the CJNG, Puerto Vallarta is not just a city to control—it is a prime economic and logistical asset. And what about the hundreds of thousands of tourists who flock there every year? In the cartel’s cold logic, they are both a source of indirect revenue—through the local economy they sustain—and a shield. As long as tourists keep coming, the official economy survives, hotels pay their taxes, and the city maintains a semblance of normality. It is this facade of normality that the CJNG has every interest in maintaining—up to a point.
What Tourists Don't See — and What They're Starting to See
The Invisible Geography of Fear
Puerto Vallarta operates according to a geography that travel agencies never include in their brochures. There’s the Zona Hotelera, the Malecón, and the well-marked, heavily patrolled tourist districts, where thousands of visitors move about in a relatively protected bubble. And then there’s everything else. The working-class neighborhoods on the outskirts, the industrial and port areas, certain roads outside the city center—where the rules change radically. In these areas, the presence of the cartels is tangible, visible, and accepted. Businesses pay a cuota—a forced tax—for the right to operate. Residents who know exactly which streets to avoid after a certain hour. Young men standing guard at strategic intersections, whose role is known to everyone except tourists.
What the Canadian who spoke to Radio-Canada describes is precisely the encroachment of this other reality into the space that tourists believed was safe. Threatening situations, an atmosphere of tension, scenes that starkly contrast with the idyllic setting in which he thought he was moving. This shift—this growing permeability between the world of the cartels and the tourist area—is one of the most troubling developments observed by security analysts monitoring the situation in Mexico. For years, a precarious balance was maintained: the cartels tolerated tourists because tourists were good for business. But that balance is cracking.
There is something deeply unjust about the fact that thousands of Canadian families arrive in Mexico without any real information about what they are exposing themselves to. This is not bad luck. It is a system—tourism, economic, diplomatic—that has a vested interest in keeping this reality hidden.
Incidents That Don’t Make the Headlines
The Canadian government’s travel advisories for Mexico do exist. They’re available on the Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ website. But how many travelers actually read them? How many travel agencies mention them off the cuff when selling an all-inclusive package? These warnings classify many regions of Mexico—including the entire state of Jalisco—as high-risk. They explicitly advise against travel to certain areas. Yet Puerto Vallarta continues to welcome packed charter flights every week from Montreal, Toronto, Calgary, and Vancouver. The travel and tourism industry is an economic machine whose cogs do not easily accommodate nuances regarding safety. And in the meantime, incidents are occurring. Canadians are falling victim to armed robberies. Foreign tourists find themselves in the wrong place at the wrong time during gang shootouts. Families return home with stories they never imagined they’d have to tell.
The Mexican Government—Between Denial and Incompetence
Official Rhetoric vs. the Facts
Faced with rising insecurity in its tourist areas, the Mexican government vacillates between two equally problematic stances. The first is partial denial: downplaying the scale of the problem, reassuring investors and foreign governments whose citizens make up the tourist clientele, and emphasizing the efforts made by law enforcement. The second is a disguised admission of powerlessness: acknowledging that the situation is difficult while emphasizing that tourist areas are receiving special attention, that special task forces have been deployed, and that progress has been made. What these two stances have in common is that they fail to address the central truth: the Mexican government has lost control of significant portions of its territory, and Puerto Vallarta is no exception to this reality.
Under the presidency of Claudia Sheinbaum, who succeeded Andrés Manuel López Obrador in October 2024, Mexico is attempting to redefine its security strategy. López Obrador had attempted an approach known as “abrazos, no balazos”—hugs, not bullets—which aimed to address the social causes of drug-related crime rather than confront it militarily. This strategy was a documented failure: the number of homicides in Mexico reached historic highs during his term. Sheinbaum inherits a weakened security apparatus, judicial institutions riddled with corruption, and a geopolitical context complicated by pressure from the Trump administration in the United States, which is demanding more aggressive action against the cartels at the risk of further destabilizing bilateral relations.
A state that cannot guarantee the safety of its own citizens in its own tourist cities is not simply a state in trouble. It is a state whose actual sovereignty is in question. And this is a question that no one at the diplomatic level wants to ask out loud.
Corruption as Infrastructure
It is impossible to understand the cartels’ stranglehold on Mexico without addressing systemic corruption. This is not a marginal problem. It is not just a matter of a few corrupt police officers. Corruption in Mexico is an infrastructure. Local police officers paid by the cartels to turn a blind eye, tip off authorities about anti-drug operations, and facilitate the transport of illicit goods. Local elected officials who must negotiate with criminal groups to carry out their duties—or who are even directly installed by these groups. Judges and prosecutors who receive bribes or threats—often both. The result of this institutional capture is that justice is a fiction in many parts of the country, and that the victims of the cartels—tourists, residents, businesspeople—know they often have no real recourse. This is also why testimonies like that of the Canadian man on Radio-Canada are so valuable: they give a voice to a reality that official channels have neither the capacity nor the interest to convey.
Canadians in Mexico — an exhibition that no one really takes seriously
Millions of Travelers, Incomplete Information
Canada is one of the countries whose citizens travel to Mexico in the largest numbers. Every year, hundreds of thousands of Canadians—some estimates put the number at more than 1.5 million annually—visit Mexican destinations, including Puerto Vallarta, Cancún, the Riviera Maya, Los Cabos, and Mazatlán. These trips generate billions of dollars in revenue for the Mexican tourism industry and for Canadian airlines and tour operators. It is a massive industry. And like any massive industry, it has its own interests to protect, which are not always aligned with those of travelers.
The safety information provided to Canadian travelers before their departure is notoriously inadequate. Official warnings from the Canadian government do exist, but they are often worded too generally to be truly useful. Knowing that “organized crime is active in the state of Jalisco” does not give a tourist the concrete tools to assess their level of risk, identify areas to avoid, or recognize the signs of a dangerous situation. What the Canadian’s account in Puerto Vallarta reveals by implication is this gulf between the information available and the information needed. Between what one can find through research and what one should be told up front.
Sending tourists into a low-intensity conflict zone without providing them with real, actionable information is a form of collective irresponsibility. This responsibility is shared by governments, tour operators, and a tourism industry that prefers to sell a dream rather than the truth.
Canadians Who Don’t Come Home
The situation has an even darker side: Canadians who have gone missing in Mexico. Cases of Canadian nationals falling victim to cartel-related violence, kidnappings, and homicides are documented in Canadian media archives and consular reports. For every case that makes the headlines—and these are relatively rare, often because families are initially reluctant to publicize the situation—there are others that are resolved discreetly, in diplomatic and security gray areas. The Canadian consulate in Puerto Vallarta handles emergencies involving Canadian nationals with a regularity that the general public does not fully appreciate. What happens behind the scenes at the consulate is, in itself, a barometer of the actual level of insecurity in the region.
Cartel Violence — A Reality That Is Taking a Dangerous Turn
Methods That Spread
The violence perpetrated by Mexican cartels has evolved in both its forms and its targets. For a long time, criminal groups like the CJNG had an unwritten rule: do not harm foreign tourists. Attacking American, Canadian, or European nationals attracted unwanted international attention, risked triggering diplomatic pressure, and could lead to a decline in tourism—thereby drying up a source of indirect revenue. This unwritten rule has been broken in several places. The kidnapping of four American tourists in Matamoros in March 2023—two of whom were killed—served as a wake-up call. Since then, other incidents involving foreign nationals have been reported in various regions of Mexico. The line separating tourists from cartel-related risks is becoming increasingly blurred.
Several factors explain this shift. Intensifying competition among cartels for control of territories and routes is generating violence that spills over into public spaces in a less controlled manner than before. The diversification of criminal activities—extortion, kidnapping, and human trafficking in addition to drug trafficking—creates new vulnerabilities for people who have nothing to do with these activities. And the rise of younger, more unpredictable cartels, less bound by the unwritten codes of established criminal organizations, introduces further instability into an already precarious security landscape.
When the unwritten rule that protected tourists begins to crack, we enter a new phase—a phase in which the fairy tale of risk-free Mexican tourism is definitively over. And travelers would do well to know this before setting out.
Puerto Vallarta—Between Statistics and Real-Life Experience
Official crime statistics for Puerto Vallarta should be interpreted with caution. On the one hand, the city’s homicide rates—while certainly placing it in a difficult situation—remain lower than those of certain other Mexican cities such as Tijuana, Ciudad Juárez, or Acapulco. On the other hand, these statistics do not capture all incidents—many of which go unreported to the authorities, either out of fear or mistrust of law enforcement agencies themselves, which are suspected of colluding with criminal groups. Nor do they measure the indirect impacts of the cartels’ presence: the extortion of businesses, the forced displacement of populations, and the climate of fear that is gradually taking hold in neighborhoods that were previously unaffected. What the Canadian who spoke to Radio-Canada describes is precisely this reality that raw statistics fail to capture: the atmosphere, the weight of the threat, and the violence experienced as a constant presence even when it does not erupt into open conflict.
The tourism industry—a silent accomplice?
The Economics of Silence
The tourism industry—hotels, airlines, tour operators, and travel agencies—has a direct economic interest in maintaining the image of destinations like Puerto Vallarta. This industry generates billions of dollars in annual revenue, supports thousands of jobs, and includes publicly traded companies whose value is directly linked to the perceived safety of their destinations. In this context, there is an economy of silence surrounding the reality of security in Mexico. Information circulates, of course. Consular warnings are available. News reports exist. But they are drowned out by a flood of tourism advertisements, testimonials from happy travelers, and sponsored content on social media that build and maintain the image of a paradise.
This is not an organized conspiracy. It is an alignment of economic interests that collectively produces misinformation by omission. No one is sitting in a boardroom deciding to hide the reality of the cartels from Canadian tourists. But every player—the tour operator who downplays warnings to avoid losing a sale, the hotel that minimizes incidents to protect its reputation, the Mexican government that emphasizes the benefits of tourism, the Canadian government that doesn’t want to upset a trading partner—contributes to maintaining a narrative that leaves travelers ill-informed about real risks.
The travel industry sells carefree experiences. That’s its business model. But when the carefree experience it sells exposes families to real violence, we are justified in asking at what point commercial recklessness becomes a moral responsibility.
What a Responsible Travel Agency Should Say
Let’s imagine—this is an instructive exercise—what a truly responsible travel agency would say to a customer looking to book a trip to Puerto Vallarta. It would tell them about areas to avoid at all costs, precautions to take, consular emergency numbers to keep on hand, and behaviors to adopt to minimize risks—such as not venturing outside tourist areas at night, avoiding displaying electronic devices or valuable jewelry, not taking unofficial taxis, and staying vigilant in unmarked areas. It would tell them that the risk isn’t zero, that it’s manageable with the right information and appropriate behavior, but that it’s real and deserves to be taken seriously. Unfortunately, this responsible travel agency is the exception rather than the rule in an industry structurally incentivized to sell an unqualified “dream.”
Canada's Response — Between Diplomatic Caution and the Duty to Protect
The Limits of Good-Neighbor Diplomacy
Canada maintains close economic and diplomatic ties with Mexico. The two countries are bound by the Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA), the trade framework that succeeded NAFTA. Mexico is one of Canada’s main trading partners. Thousands of Canadian companies operate in Mexico, and Canadian expatriate communities have settled there. In this context, the bilateral relationship is valuable, and successive Canadian governments have been cautious in their public statements regarding the security situation in Mexico to avoid creating diplomatic friction. This caution comes at a cost: it contributes to the lack of information provided to Canadian travelers about the actual risks they face.
The question that arises is that of the Canadian government’s duty to protect its citizens abroad. This duty is limited by practical realities—Canada cannot control what happens on Mexican territory—but it includes a component of information and warning that could be carried out in a much more active and direct manner than it currently is. Existing consular warnings are necessary but insufficient. A more proactive approach—targeted information campaigns ahead of tourist seasons, mandatory briefings for tour operators, and greater visibility of warnings in the booking process—would be possible without constituting interference in Mexican affairs.
Canada can be both a friend to Mexico and an honest protector of its citizens. These two things are not incompatible—unless one chooses to prioritize commercial diplomacy over the duty to be truthful to the people who rely on their Canadian passports for protection.
What does the Canadian consulate actually do?
The Canadian consulate in Puerto Vallarta—and, more broadly, the Canadian consular network in Mexico—does essential work under difficult conditions. They handle consular emergencies, assist citizens in distress, and maintain channels of communication with local authorities. But they operate in an environment where their Mexican counterparts are themselves constrained by the reality of cartel power, where available information is often fragmentary, and where their resources are limited relative to the scale of the task. Canadian consular officials in Mexico are on the front lines of a reality that policymakers in Ottawa view from a great distance. The gap between consular reality and political rhetoric is one of the blind spots in this issue.
Voices from Mexico — What People Living with the Cartels Have to Say
The Silent Resistance of the Residents
It would be profoundly unfair to reduce Puerto Vallarta and its residents to the violence of the cartels. The vast majority of Mexicans living in this city—and in the thousands of Mexican cities affected by organized crime—are not criminals. They are families, workers, entrepreneurs, artists, and teachers trying to live normal lives under abnormal conditions. They adapt, they develop informal survival strategies, and they maintain networks of community solidarity that constitute a form of silent resistance to the cartels’ stranglehold. Some organize more openly—self-defense groups, citizen collectives, and journalists who continue to cover the reality of organized crime despite threats, sometimes at the risk of their lives.
Mexico is one of the most dangerous countries in the world for journalists. Dozens of journalists have been murdered in recent years for daring to cover the activities of the cartels. Those who continue to do so—and there are many of them, working in local newsrooms that are often poorly equipped and underfunded—demonstrate a courage that their colleagues in stable democracies can scarcely imagine. Their work is essential to ensure that the reality of the cartels continues to be documented, that victims have a voice, and that these events are not forgotten.
The resistance of Mexican journalists in the face of the cartels is one of the least-told stories of courage of our time. While we debate press freedom in contexts where it is rhetorically threatened, men and women in Mexico are paying with their lives for the right to report the news. That deserves more than a footnote.
The Price of Imposed Silence
The silence imposed by the cartels on the communities they control is one of the most insidious forms of their power. Residents of neighborhoods under the control of the CJNG or other groups do not speak to the media. They do not testify to the authorities. They do not publicly express their opinions about what is happening in their neighborhoods. This silence is not consent. It is a survival strategy in an environment where speaking out can cost one’s life. What this means, in practice, is that the reality experienced by hundreds of thousands of Mexicans remains largely invisible to the rest of the world. And that the accounts of foreign tourists—who enjoy relative protection due to their passports, their international visibility, and the media attention their plight might generate in their home countries—sometimes become the only accounts circulating about what residents experience on a daily basis.
Lessons from Other Tourism Crises — What History Teaches Us
When Paradise Crumbles
The history of global tourism offers several examples of destinations that have experienced major security crises after years of intense tourism development. Acapulco, another Mexican city, was one of the world’s most glamorous beach destinations just a few decades ago. Today, it is one of the most dangerous cities on the planet, with some of the highest homicide rates in the world. Its transformation was not sudden. It occurred gradually, insidiously, over years during which warning signs were ignored, downplayed, or drowned out by the flow of tourists. Puerto Vallarta is not Acapulco. The situation is not comparable in its current intensity. But the mechanisms of decline—the rise of the cartels, institutional corruption, the state’s inadequate response, and the artificial maintenance of an image of normality—are the same. And they deserve to be recognized for what they are before the comparison becomes relevant.
Other examples, outside of Mexico, show that it is possible to manage tourism crises in a more transparent and responsible manner. Destinations that have experienced terrorist attacks have opted for direct communication, enhanced and visible security measures, and an honest dialogue with potential travelers about the risks and the steps taken. In the long run, this approach better preserves a destination’s trust and reputation than downplaying the situation, which ultimately ends up being contradicted by events.
Acapulco is a warning that no one wanted to heed in time. If Puerto Vallarta follows the same path, no one will be able to say there were no warning signs. The signs are there. The question is whether anyone has the courage to read them aloud.
What We Can Learn from the Thai and Turkish Examples
Countries like Thailand and Turkey, which have faced security crises that affected their tourism industries, offer instructive lessons on managing such situations. In both cases, the governments’ initial reaction was to downplay the situation, reassure the public, and protect their image. In both cases, this strategy eventually ran its course in the face of reality. Where it succeeded, the rebuilding of tourist confidence was achieved not by reverting to the idyllic messaging of the pre-crisis era, but through more honest communication focused on the concrete measures taken to improve security. Mexico has not yet made this transition. In its official communications on tourism, it continues to treat security as a footnote rather than as a strategic priority for the long-term viability of its tourism industry.
What This Testimony Changes—or Should Change
The Value of Individual Testimonies
The testimony of a single Canadian on Radio-Canada may seem modest in the face of a geopolitical and security issue as complex as that of the Mexican cartels. But individual stories have a power that statistics and reports lack. They make the abstract concrete. They humanize the systemic. They create a direct emotional connection between a distant reality and the reader’s or listener’s potential experience. When a man just like any of us—who had booked a vacation in a place that all his loved ones considered a run-of-the-mill destination—returns with a story of violence and insecurity, it produces something that no government memo ever can: a visceral sense of awareness.
This testimony is part of a broader movement of collective awareness in Canada regarding the real risks of traveling to certain Mexican destinations. Discussions are taking place on social media, in travel groups, and among families planning their winter vacations. Questions are emerging: Is it still reasonable to take your children to Puerto Vallarta? What do we really know about what’s happening there? Are the Canadian government’s warnings sufficient? These questions deserve serious, well-researched, nuanced answers—not superficial reassurances.
A single honest account is sometimes worth more than a thousand tourist brochures. It tells the truth. And the truth, in this specific case, is that too many Canadians are traveling to Mexico without knowing what they really need to know.
What travelers can and should do
Informing is not the same as discouraging. It is possible to visit Puerto Vallarta and other Mexican destinations while significantly minimizing the risks, provided you are well-informed and take appropriate precautions. Consult and actually read the Canadian government’s travel advisories. Stick to established tourist areas, especially at night. Avoid displaying visible signs of wealth. Use only official taxis or recognized ride-sharing apps. Don’t accept offers that seem too good to be true—unofficial tours, overly friendly chance encounters. Keep the contact information for the Canadian consulate handy. Purchase travel insurance that covers emergencies, including medical evacuations. Stay informed about local news during your stay. These precautions do not guarantee absolute safety—nothing does—but they significantly reduce your exposure to risk.
Conclusion: The Right to Know Before You Go
A Shared Responsibility
What this account from a Canadian in Puerto Vallarta ultimately highlights is a matter of responsibility. The responsibility of governments—both Mexican and Canadian—to be honest about the real risks rather than protect economic and diplomatic interests at the expense of citizens’ safety. The responsibility of the tourism industry not to market destinations without providing accurate information about their security situation. The responsibility of the media to cover this reality with the regularity and depth it deserves—not just when a sensational incident finally makes the headlines. And yes, the responsibility of travelers themselves to do serious research before leaving, and not to entrust their safety to a postcard-perfect image.
Puerto Vallarta is not a war zone. The millions of tourists who visit each year are not in constant and imminent danger. But it is a destination where cartel violence is a tangible, well-documented reality that is on the rise and increasingly affecting the spaces where visitors move. To ignore this reality is to take a risk out of ignorance. Recognizing and understanding it means equipping yourself to make informed choices—including the choice to go there anyway, knowing what you’re getting into and how to conduct yourself.
The right to vacation wherever one wishes goes hand in hand with the fundamental right to know what one is getting into. This right is not currently being upheld for Canadian travelers who choose Mexico. And until it is, stories like that of the Canadian in Puerto Vallarta will continue to be told—after the fact, when it’s too late to have done otherwise.
Paradise has its dark sides—it’s time to say so
Mexico is an extraordinary country. Its culture is rich, its history is fascinating, its landscapes are breathtakingly beautiful, and the vast majority of its people are warm and welcoming. That’s not what this is about. This is about a specific, acute, well-documented problem: cartel violence in major tourist regions has reached a level that can no longer be treated as manageable, ignorable background noise. Canadians who choose to spend their vacations there deserve complete, honest, and actionable information. Neither panic nor denial. Simply the truth. And the truth is that Puerto Vallarta shines brightly on the surface—and that in the shadow of that light, dangerous and uncontrolled forces are shaping a reality that too many visitors only come to know once they’re confronted with it. By then, it’s always too late.
Signed, Jacques Pj Provost
Columnist’s Transparency Box
Editorial Stance
I am not a journalist, but a columnist and analyst. My expertise lies in observing and analyzing the geopolitical, economic, and strategic dynamics that shape our world. My work consists of dissecting political strategies, understanding global economic trends, contextualizing the decisions of international actors, and offering analytical perspectives on the transformations that are redefining our societies.
I do not claim to possess the cold objectivity of traditional journalism, which is limited to factual reporting. I strive for analytical clarity, rigorous interpretation, and a deep understanding of the complex issues that affect us all. My role is to make sense of the facts, place them within their historical and strategic context, and offer a critical analysis of events.
Methodology and Sources
This text respects the fundamental distinction between verified facts and interpretive analysis. The factual information presented comes exclusively from verifiable primary and secondary sources.
Primary sources: official communiqués from governments and international institutions, public statements by political leaders, reports from intergovernmental organizations, and dispatches from recognized international news agencies (Reuters, Associated Press, Agence France-Presse, Bloomberg News).
Secondary sources: specialized publications, internationally recognized news media, analyses by established research institutions, reports from sector-specific organizations (Radio-Canada, Le Monde, The Guardian, Foreign Affairs, InSight Crime).
The statistical and security data cited come from official institutions and organizations specializing in the analysis of organized crime in Latin America.
Nature of the Analysis
The analyses, interpretations, and perspectives presented in the analytical sections of this article constitute a critical and contextual synthesis based on available information, observed trends, and expert commentary cited in the sources consulted.
My role is to interpret these facts, contextualize them within the framework of contemporary geopolitical and economic dynamics, and give them coherent meaning within the broader narrative of the transformations shaping our era. These analyses reflect expertise developed through continuous observation of international affairs and an understanding of the strategic mechanisms that drive global actors.
Any subsequent developments in the situation could, of course, alter the perspectives presented here. This article will be updated if major new official information is released, thereby ensuring the relevance and timeliness of the analysis provided.
This text is based on testimony reported by Radio-Canada and on a well-documented contextual analysis. Factual statements regarding the CJNG, the security situation in Jalisco, and Canadian consular policies are based on verifiable sources cited below. The analyses and interpretations are those of the columnist.
Sources
Primary Sources
Radio-Canada — A Canadian in Mexico Testifies to Cartel Violence in Puerto Vallarta — 2025
Government of Canada — Official Travel Advisories: Mexico — continuously updated 2025
DEA — National Drug Threat Assessment — Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación — 2021
Secondary sources
InSight Crime — Profile of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG) — 2024
The Guardian — Four Americans Kidnapped in Mexico, Two Killed — March 2023
Le Monde — Mexico: Cartels and Tourism, an Increasingly Fragile Coexistence — 2024
Foreign Policy — Mexico’s Tourism Problem: When Cartels and Resorts Collide — January 2024
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