A technological monster born of the Cold War
To understand what happened last night, we must first understand what the Orechnik is—a Russian word meaning “hazelnut tree” that is anything but idyllic. This intermediate-range ballistic missile is the direct successor to the RS-26 Roubej, itself a derivative of the RS-24 Iars, a Russian intercontinental ballistic missile. The RS-26 program had been put on hold in 2018 due to a lack of funding, sacrificed in favor of next-generation hypersonic systems like the Avangard. But Moscow never abandoned the idea. And the Orechnik rose from those ashes.
It first appeared on November 21, 2024, when it struck a military factory in Dnipro, in central Ukraine. At the time, Putin had presented this strike as a response to Ukrainian attacks carried out with American ATACMS and British Storm Shadow missiles. The world watched in astonishment as images emerged of six successive flashes falling from the sky like meteorites. Property damage was limited—likely because the missile lacked an explosive payload and was used for demonstration purposes. But the message got through.
Staggering Specifications
The figures from the Orechnik are mind-boggling. According to Vladimir Putin himself, this missile can reach a speed of Mach 10, or approximately 12,350 km/h. Ukrainian military intelligence even measured a speed exceeding Mach 11 during the November 2024 test launch—more than 13,600 km/h. To give you an idea, that’s 2.5 to 3 kilometers per second. By the time you finish reading this sentence, the Orechnik would have traveled 15 kilometers.
Its range is between 3,000 and 5,500 kilometers, making it a medium-range missile—just below the threshold for intercontinental ballistic missiles. But make no mistake: if launched from the Russian Far East, it could theoretically reach the west coast of the United States. And as Pavel Podvig, a researcher at the United Nations Institute for Disarmament Research, noted, “the Orechnik can threaten virtually all of Europe.” Paris, London, Berlin—all within range.
When I read these numbers, I have a hard time wrapping my head around them. 13,000 km/h. Three kilometers per second. It’s so fast that it’s almost abstract. But imagine this: you’re in Kyiv, you hear the sirens, and you have a few minutes—maybe less—to take cover. Except that against a hypersonic missile, there’s no shelter. Current air defense systems are powerless against it. That’s what terrifies me. We’re talking about a weapon against which we’re helpless. And Putin knows it.
A Night of Terror for Ukraine
The Barrage of Fire on Kyiv
The night of January 8–9, 2026, will remain etched in Ukrainian memory. Thirty-six missiles and 242 drones were launched at the country in what the Ukrainian Air Force described as a massive attack. Ukraine’s defense system managed to shoot down 226 drones and 18 missiles—a remarkable feat. But it wasn’t enough. In Kyiv, the toll is heavy: four dead, 20 residential buildings damaged, and even the Qatari embassy hit.
The capital’s mayor, Vitali Klitschko, issued a desperate appeal to residents: “Half of the residential buildings in Kyiv—nearly 6,000—are currently without heat. Those who can, please leave temporarily for places where there are power and heat sources. ” In the middle of the Ukrainian winter, this is a death sentence for the most vulnerable. Temperatures are freezing, and without heat, apartments become death traps.
Lviv in the Crosshairs
But Kyiv wasn’t the only target. Further west, in the Lviv region, which borders Poland—a member of the European Union and NATO—an infrastructure site was targeted. Lviv Mayor Andriy Sadovyi revealed on Telegram that the missile “was traveling at a speed of nearly 13,000 km per hour.” Russian media claimed that the attack struck a large gas storage facility. The automatic safety system cut off the gas supply to several hundred residents of the village of Rudne.
This strike on Lviv is no trivial matter. The city is located just a few dozen kilometers from the Polish border. It is a direct message to NATO: I can strike right at the doorstep of your territory. And you can’t do anything to stop me.” Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha emphasized this point: “Such an attack near the borders of the European Union and NATO poses a serious threat to the security of the European continent and is a test for the transatlantic alliance.”
Lviv. This city was supposed to be a refuge, far from the front lines. This city where Ukrainians from the east sought refuge at the start of the war, thinking they would find safety there. And now, even Lviv is no longer safe. Putin has just told them: nowhere is safe. Not even at NATO’s doorstep. Not even a few kilometers from Poland. I can reach you anywhere. And frankly, that scares the hell out of me. Because if Lviv isn’t safe anymore, what is?
Russia's justification: a pretext that fools no one
The Phantom Attack on Putin
Moscow presented these strikes as a “response” to an alleged attack by Ukrainian drones on a residence belonging to Vladimir Putin in the Novgorod region on the night of December 29, 2025. The Russian Ministry of Defense called it a “terrorist attack carried out by the Kyiv regime.” The problem is that Kyiv categorically denies it. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy called the accusation a “lie,” accusing the Kremlin of seeking a pretext to justify new strikes and undermine diplomatic talks aimed at a ceasefire.
And frankly, who can believe this story? An attack by 91 drones on a presidential residence that resulted in no deaths, no injuries, and for which no one has seen a shred of evidence? Even Donald Trump has expressed his doubts: “I don’t think this strike took place,” he said. If even Trump doubts the Russian version, there’s a problem. No, this story about an attacked residence is pure theater. A pretext fabricated from scratch to justify the unjustifiable.
A Calculated Escalation
The Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has been clear: these massive strikes and the use of the Orechnik are intended to “test” Kyiv’s allies. It’s a calculated, methodical escalation designed to gauge the West’s reaction. How far can they go before Europe and the United States actually respond? Putin is playing with red lines, crossing them one by one, and watching. So far, he’s seen only verbal condemnations. No concrete action. No real consequences.
And that’s exactly what he wanted to know. Can he use hypersonic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads without NATO lifting a finger? Apparently, yes. Can he knock on Poland’s door without triggering a military response? Apparently, yes. Every successful test brings him a little closer to the next line. And I find myself wondering where that line is that he won’t cross. Does it even exist?
This whole story about the attacked residence is so crude it’s insulting. Putin really takes us for fools. He invents a phantom attack to justify massacring Ukrainian civilians, and he expects us to buy it? The worst part is that he doesn’t care whether we believe it or not. He knows we know it’s a lie. But he does it anyway. Because he can. Because no one is stopping him. And that’s what angers me the most. We’re letting him get away with it.
Europe condemns, but does nothing
Words, always words
European reactions were swift. During a phone call on Friday, January 9, French President Emmanuel Macron, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz condemned “an escalation” that is “unacceptable.” A Downing Street spokesperson stated that the three European leaders agreed that Russia’s “ongoing” attacks, “including the use of an Orechnik intermediate-range ballistic missile in western Ukraine,” constitute “an escalation and are unacceptable.”
Germany was the first major power to speak out publicly. A government spokesperson, Steffen Meyer, expressed regret that “Russia is continuing to escalate the situation here,” a move that was not “provoked” by Kyiv, adding that Berlin remained “firmly on Ukraine’s side.” For her part, the European Union’s foreign policy chief, Kaja Kallas, was more direct: the firing of the Orechnik is a “clear” sign of an “escalation” on Moscow’s part and a “warning” to Europe and the United States. “Vladimir Putin does not want peace; Russia’s response to diplomacy is more missiles and destruction,” she stated on X.
Western Powerlessness
But beyond the indignant statements, what is actually changing? Nothing. Absolutely nothing. No new sanctions. No additional arms shipments. No concrete measures. Just words. Condemnations. Outrage. And meanwhile, Ukraine continues to burn. Civilians continue to die. And Putin continues to test the limits of what he can do without consequences.
Ukrainian President Zelensky has called for a “clear response” from the international community. But what is a clear response to a hypersonic missile? What is a clear response to a man who openly threatens Europe with nuclear weapons? The West seems paralyzed, unable to find a proportionate response that doesn’t risk triggering an even more dangerous escalation. But this paralysis is exactly what Putin is looking for. He knows we’re afraid. And he’s taking advantage of it.
I’m tired of these condemnations that serve no purpose. Tired of these phone calls between European leaders who claim to be “resolutely on Ukraine’s side” but take no concrete action. Tired of seeing Putin cross one red line after another without ever paying the price. We condemn, we express outrage, we lament. And then what? Nothing. We wait for the next strike. The next massacre. The next escalation. And we start all over again. Condemn, express outrage, lament. It’s a vicious cycle. And in the meantime, people are dying.
A missile that threatens all of Europe
The Scope of the Threat
With a range of between 3,000 and 5,500 kilometers, the Orechnik can reach virtually any European capital from Russian territory. Paris, London, Berlin, Rome, Madrid—all are within range. And unlike intercontinental missiles, intermediate-range missiles like the Orechnik were no longer supposed to exist in Europe. The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, signed in 1987 during the Cold War, prohibited their development and deployment.
But in 2019, U.S. President Donald Trump withdrew Washington from the treaty, accusing Moscow of violating it. That decision paved the way for a new arms race. And today, we are seeing the consequences. Russia has not only developed the Orechnik but also deployed it in Belarus in December 2025, according to Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko. Belarus lies on the doorstep of the European Union. It borders Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia.
A Virtually Unstoppable Weapon
What makes the Orechnik particularly terrifying is that it is virtually impossible to intercept. Its hypersonic speed—over Mach 10—makes it extremely difficult to detect and track. But that’s not all. The missile is equipped with multiple warheads, each of which follows an independent trajectory upon entering the atmosphere. Videos of the strikes show six successive flashes falling from the sky—six warheads striking simultaneously. Each must be intercepted separately. And at that speed, it’s mission impossible.
According to Polish military analyst Marcin Andrzej Piotrowski, the Orechnik’s warheads “enter the atmosphere and reach their targets at hypersonic speeds” but, unlike other hypersonic missiles, they “do not perform any maneuvers at hypersonic speeds.” This means their trajectory is predictable—in theory. But in practice, at 13,000 km/h, even a predictable trajectory leaves current defense systems with no chance. The reaction time is simply too short.
Do you know what terrifies me most about the Orechnik? It’s not its speed. It’s not its range. It’s not even its ability to carry nuclear warheads. No, what terrifies me is that there’s nothing we can do about it. Our most sophisticated defense systems are powerless. Our radars detect it too late. Our interceptor missiles are too slow. We’re defenseless. Vulnerable. And Putin knows it. He’s showing it to us. He’s proving it to us. And all we can do is watch, helpless.
The temperature of the sun inside a missile
Unprecedented Destructive Power
Vladimir Putin likes to boast about the capabilities of his weapons. And with the Orechnik, he has every reason to. During a televised meeting with military officials in late 2024, he described the missile as a “meteorite.” “The temperature of the warhead reaches 4,000°C,” he boasted, which is “almost as hot as the surface of the sun,” between “5,500 and 6,000 degrees.” This is an exaggeration—the sun’s surface is much hotter—but the image is striking. 4,000 degrees Celsius is enough to melt any known material.
This extreme temperature is the result of the missile’s hypersonic speed. At Mach 10, friction with the atmosphere generates colossal heat. The Orechnik’s warheads are designed to withstand these temperatures and use them as a weapon. When they strike their target, they don’t just explode—they incinerate everything in their path. Witnesses to the first strike in Dnipro in November 2024 reported a “hellish noise” and bright lights. Some described blinding flashes, like lightning striking from the sky.
Limited Damage, So Far
Paradoxically, the damage caused by the two Orechnik strikes has been relatively limited. In Dnipro in November 2024, an AFP team observed “very limited” damage despite the noise and spectacular flashes of light. Last night in Kyiv and Lviv, the toll was heavier—four dead, twenty buildings damaged—but still falls short of what one might expect from such a powerful weapon. Why? Because, according to military experts, the two strikes were likely carried out without explosive charges, or with reduced charges.
These are demonstrations. Tests. Putin is showing what he can do, but without unleashing the weapon’s full power. It’s as if he were saying: Look, I can strike anywhere, anytime, with a weapon you can’t stop. And I’m not even using it at full power. Imagine what I could do if I really wanted to. This is psychological warfare as much as it is military warfare. And it’s working. Because we’ve all gotten the message.
There’s something deeply perverse about this strategy. Putin is using a weapon capable of leveling entire cities, but he’s deliberately underusing it. Just enough to kill a few people. Just enough to terrorize. Just enough to show what he could do. It’s pure sadism. He’s torturing us with the threat more than with the act itself. And the worst part is, it’s working. We’re all afraid. We’re all wondering: What if he really decided to use it at full power? What if he attached a nuclear warhead to it? We can’t help but think about it. And that’s exactly what he wants.
Belarus, a forward base for the threat
A Deployment on Europe’s Doorstep
In mid-December 2025, Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko announced the deployment of Orechnik missiles on his country’s territory. Belarus borders Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia—three NATO member countries. It is just a few hundred kilometers from Warsaw, Vilnius, and Riga. And now, hypersonic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads are stationed there. The threat is no longer theoretical. It is real, concrete, and right at our doorstep.
This deployment radically changes the strategic landscape in Europe. With Orenichniks in Belarus, Moscow can strike any European capital in a matter of minutes. Reaction time is reduced to almost nothing. Early-warning systems become useless. Evacuation plans no longer make sense. Traveling at 13,000 km/h, a missile launched from Belarus would reach Berlin in less than ten minutes. Paris in fifteen. London in twenty. And there would be nothing we could do to stop it.
Mass production has begun
Worse still: Moscow has announced the start of mass production of the Orechnik. It is no longer a prototype. It is no longer an experimental weapon. It is an operational weapons system, mass-produced and deployed in the field. Vladimir Putin stated in late 2024 that Russia had a “stockpile” of these missiles “ready for use.” How many exactly? We don’t know. But enough for Moscow to feel confident enough to use them.
This mass production means that the Orechnik is not a one-off threat. It is a permanent threat. Every day, new missiles roll off the assembly lines in Russian factories. Every day, Putin’s arsenal grows. And every day, Europe becomes a little more vulnerable. Because we have no defense against these weapons. No countermeasure. No effective response. We are at the mercy of a man who has already proven that he does not hesitate to use them.
Belarus. This small country wedged between Russia and Europe, ruled by a dictator who kowtows to Putin. And now, it has become a base for nuclear missiles—missiles that can reach us in a matter of minutes. I remember the Cold War, Soviet missiles aimed at Europe, the specter of nuclear terror. We thought it was over. That those days were gone. But no. We’re back there again. Except this time, the missiles are faster, more accurate, and deadlier. And we’re even less prepared than before.
A war that drags on, a Europe that is bogged down
Nearly three years of conflict
This strike comes as the war in Ukraine approaches its third anniversary. Three years of fighting. Three years of deaths. Three years of destruction. And no end in sight. On the contrary, with each passing month, the conflict escalates further. First, it was tanks. Then missiles. Then drones. Now, hypersonic missiles. What will be the next step? Chemical weapons? Biological weapons? Nuclear weapons?
Ukraine is holding on, but at what cost? The country is bled dry. Its economy is in ruins. Its infrastructure is destroyed. Its people are exhausted. And Western aid, so crucial at the start of the conflict, is beginning to run out of steam. The United States is divided on the issue. Europe is paralyzed by its own divisions. And meanwhile, Russia continues to strike, again and again, testing the limits of what it can do without triggering a military response from NATO.
Peace Talks at an Impasse
Peace talks have been discussed for months. Donald Trump, who is set to resume the U.S. presidency, has promised to end the war “within 24 hours.” But how? By forcing Ukraine to cede territory? By abandoning Kyiv to its fate? The details remain unclear. And in the meantime, Putin continues to strike, undermining any possibility of serious negotiations. How can one negotiate with a man who responds to diplomacy with missiles?
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has stated that the document on U.S. security guarantees is “practically ready” to be submitted to Trump. But what are security guarantees worth in the face of a hypersonic missile? What are promises worth in the face of a man who has already violated every international treaty? Ukraine needs more than words. It needs weapons. Defense systems. Concrete support. But the West hesitates, paralyzed by the fear of escalation.
Three years. This war has been going on for three years. For three years, I’ve been watching images of destruction, bodies in the streets, buildings torn apart. For three years, I’ve been hoping to see an end to it. But it hasn’t come. On the contrary, it’s getting worse. Every month brings a new horror. And now, hypersonic missiles. I don’t know what to think anymore. I don’t know what to hope for anymore. I’m just tired. Tired of this war. Tired of this violence. Tired of seeing Europe look the other way while a country is being slaughtered right on its doorstep.
Conclusion
The world holds its breath
The night of January 8–9, 2026, marks a turning point. Not because this is the first time Russia has used the Orechnik—it’s the second. Not because the death toll is particularly high—four deaths is tragic, but we’ve seen worse in this war. No, what makes this night different is what it reveals: Russia is prepared to use its most advanced, most terrifying weapons, without regard for the consequences. And the West doesn’t know how to respond.
Europe condemns it. The United States is concerned. NATO watches. But no one is taking action. No one is doing anything concrete to stop this escalation. And meanwhile, Putin continues to test the limits. He crosses a red line. Waits for a reaction. Sees nothing coming. Crosses the next line. It’s a dangerous, deadly game that could lead us straight into a catastrophe. But he keeps playing. Because he can. Because we’re letting him.
I look at these images of Kyiv in flames, these buildings torn apart, these people fleeing in the freezing cold. And I wonder: how far will this go? How far will we let Putin go before we say “stop”? He’s used a hypersonic missile capable of carrying nuclear warheads. He’s done it twice. He’s deployed them in Belarus, at Europe’s doorstep. He’s mass-producing them. And us? We condemn. We express outrage. We lament. But we do nothing. Nothing concrete. Nothing that could truly stop him. And one day—maybe soon, maybe far in the future—we’ll wake up and realize that we’ve gone too far. That we’ve let this go on for too long. That we should have acted when there was still time. But it will be too late. That night, I was afraid. Really afraid. Not just for Ukraine. For all of us.
Sources
Primary sources
BFM TV – “Russian Orechnik Missile Fired in Ukraine: France, the United Kingdom, and Germany Condemn ‘Escalation’ as ‘Unacceptable’” – January 9, 2026
Le Figaro – “War in Ukraine: Russia claims to have struck ‘strategic targets’ using the Orechnik hypersonic missile” – January 9, 2026
Le Parisien – “War in Ukraine: Russia uses the powerful Orechnik missile, killing four and causing considerable damage” – January 9, 2026
Secondary sources
BFM Business – “What are the capabilities of the Russian Orechnik missile that struck Ukraine last night?” – January 9, 2026
Russian Ministry of Defense – Official Statement – January 9, 2026
Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs – Statements by Andrii Sybiha – January 9, 2026
European Union – Statements by Kaja Kallas – January 9, 2026
This content was created with the help of AI.