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Oil, the Lifeblood of War

Until 2025, Venezuela was Cuba’s main oil supplier. But since Donald Trump placed Venezuela’s oil sector under U.S. control, the island has found itself isolated. Mexico, which was still exporting 17,200 barrels per day in 2025, halted its shipments under pressure from threats of tariffs. No oil tanker has docked in Cuba for weeks. Reserves are running low, lines are getting longer, and the Cuban government is imposing drastic measures: a four-day workweek, mandatory remote work, and restrictions on fuel sales. The blockade is not aimed solely at the regime. It is aimed at the people.

The United States justifies these sanctions by citing the need to “bring the dictatorship to its knees.” Yet, as Professor Jean-François Mayer points out, “it is people from the poorest classes who suffer the most from the harmful effects of a blockade.” Hospitals lack generators, schools are closing due to power outages, and food is becoming scarce. Collective punishment is a weapon of war.

China and Russia: The Last Lines of Defense

In the face of this American aggression, two allies are standing up: China and Russia. Beijing has promised “unlimited support and aid” to Cuba, while Moscow has raised the possibility of humanitarian aid in the form of oil shipments. But will these promises be enough to break the stranglehold? What is left for a country when its last remaining trading partners are threatened with retaliation?

This content was created with the help of AI.

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